Abstract
Rapid urbanization processes taking place in small and medium-sized Indian towns have influenced the local thermal conditions and atmospheric composition; however, empirical evidence on this subject is lacking. Within the framework of this research, co-evolution of the UHI intensity with carbon emissions in Jhargram Municipality, West Bengal (21.40 km²), for the years 2020 to 2025 was estimated. Multi-temporal Landsat 8 and Landsat 9 satellite imagery is utilized to calculate the LST, and the following biophysical surface indices were calculated along with identification of UHI intensity zones: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), Built-up Index (BI) and Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI). Simultaneously, air quality was assessed in 15 georeferenced points, and ambient CO₂, CO and surface temperature were recorded in early mornings in April 2020 and July 2025. In the examined period, the built-up area increased rapidly (+3.93 km²), expanding up to 47%; in contrast, vegetation cover decreased by 21% and water surfaces by nearly 49%. The land with LST > 28°C increased by 56% and correlated with the increase of Very High UHI concentration by 51%. The ambient concentration of CO₂ at the nodes increased from 340–360 ppm (2020) to 410–560 ppm (2025). There was a progressive increase in positive correlation (r) between UHI magnitude and built-up surface characteristics (NDBI: r = 0.21; BI: r = 0.24) in 2025, and a negative correlation with vegetation cover (NDVI: r = −0.22). The study thus highlights that there is a significant feedback relationship between changes in land use, surface temperature, and atmospheric CO₂ concentrations in an emerging semi-urban town located adjacent to ecologically fragile forest areas of India.
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